Energy & commodities
Machine learning models for algorithmic trading
Multiple machine-learning approaches developed and evaluated against the same trading problem, to establish which were worth pursuing.
- Client
- Sector
- Energy & commodities
- Capabilities
- Artificial intelligence
- Data & analytics
- Lead capability
- Artificial intelligence
Challenge
A complex trading environment required analytical models capable of identifying patterns in market data and supporting the development of algorithmic trading strategies. The challenge was to investigate how different machine-learning approaches could be applied to the problem, and determine how the resulting models performed against the relevant modelling objectives.
Context
Algorithmic trading presents a challenging modelling environment where large volumes of data, changing market conditions and multiple influencing factors need to be considered. Rather than relying on a single modelling technique, the engagement required experimentation across different machine-learning algorithms.
Our role
Priscient Ideas provided machine-learning and data science expertise, contributing to the development and evaluation of models for algorithmic trading.
Approach
- 01
Defined the modelling objectives.
- 02
Prepared and structured relevant datasets.
- 03
Explored different machine-learning algorithms.
- 04
Developed multiple modelling approaches.
- 05
Tested and compared model outputs.
- 06
Analysed model behaviour and performance.
- 07
Iterated the approaches based on analytical findings.
- 08
Considered the practical application of model outputs within an algorithmic trading context.
Delivery
- Multiple machine-learning models developed and evaluated using different algorithms, providing an analytical basis for exploring algorithmic approaches to trading.
Outcome
The engagement produced a range of machine-learning approaches that could be evaluated for their suitability to an algorithmic trading application. It also demonstrated how advanced analytics and machine learning can be applied to complex, data-intensive problems within the energy and commodities environment.
Technology
- Python
- Machine learning
- Data science
- Algorithm development
- Statistical analysis
- Energy analytics
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